Risk of symptomatic dengue for foreign visitors to the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil

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dc.contributor.authorMassad, Eduardo
dc.contributor.authorWilder-Smith, Annelies
dc.contributor.authorXimenes, Raphael
dc.contributor.authorAmaku, Marcos
dc.contributor.authorLopez, Luis Fernandez
dc.contributor.authorBezerra Coutinho, Francisco Antonio
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, Giovanini Evelim
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Jarbas Barbosa da
dc.contributor.authorStruchiner, Claudio Jose
dc.contributor.authorBurattini, Marcelo Nascimento [UNIFESP]
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade de São Paulo (USP)
dc.contributor.institutionLondon Sch Hyg & Trop Med
dc.contributor.institutionNanyang Univ
dc.contributor.institutionFlorida Int Univ
dc.contributor.institutionMinist Saude
dc.contributor.institutionFiocruz MS
dc.contributor.institutionUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)
dc.date.accessioned2016-01-24T14:37:10Z
dc.date.available2016-01-24T14:37:10Z
dc.date.issued2014-05-01
dc.description.abstractBrazil will host the FIFA World Cup T, the biggest single-event competition in the world, from June 12-July 13 2014 in 12 cities. This event will draw an estimated 600,000 international visitors. Brazil is endemic for dengue. Hence, attendees of the 2014 event are theoretically at risk for dengue. We calculated the risk of dengue acquisition to non-immune international travellers to Brazil, depending on the football match schedules, considering locations and dates of such matches for June and July 2014. We estimated the average per-capita risk and expected number of dengue cases for each host-city and each game schedule chosen based on reported dengue cases to the Brazilian Ministry of Health for the period between 2010-2013. On the average, the expected number of cases among the 600,000 foreigner tourists during the World Cup is 33, varying from 3-59. Such risk estimates will not only benefit individual travellers for adequate pre-travel preparations, but also provide valuable information for public health professionals and policy makers worldwide. Furthermore, estimates of dengue cases in international travellers during the World Cup can help to anticipate the theoretical risk for exportation of dengue into currently non-infected areas.en
dc.description.affiliationUniv São Paulo, Fac Med, Hosp Clin LIM01, São Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUniv São Paulo, Fac Med Vet, São Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUniv São Paulo, Nucleo Anal Interdisciplinares Polit Publ & Estra, São Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationLondon Sch Hyg & Trop Med, London WC1, England
dc.description.affiliationNanyang Univ, Lee Kong Chian Sch Med, Singapore, Singapore
dc.description.affiliationFlorida Int Univ, Ctr Internet Augmented Res & Assesssment, Miami, FL 33199 USA
dc.description.affiliationMinist Saude, Brasilia, DF, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationFiocruz MS, Programa Comp Cient, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista Med, Hosp São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.affiliationUnifespUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista Med, Hosp São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
dc.description.sourceWeb of Science
dc.description.sponsorshipFNS-SVS
dc.description.sponsorshipMS
dc.description.sponsorshipConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
dc.description.sponsorshipLIM01-HCFMUSP
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
dc.description.sponsorshipDengueTools/Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community
dc.description.sponsorshipIDMS: 27835/2012
dc.description.sponsorshipIDDengueTools/Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community: 282589
dc.format.extent394-+
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-0276140133
dc.identifier.citationMemorias Do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Rio de Janeiro, Rj: Fundaco Oswaldo Cruz, v. 109, n. 3, p. 394-+, 2014.
dc.identifier.doi10.1590/0074-0276140133
dc.identifier.fileS0074-02762014000300394.pdf
dc.identifier.issn0074-0276
dc.identifier.scieloS0074-02762014000300394
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorio.unifesp.br/handle/11600/37697
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000337909100022
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherFundaco Oswaldo Cruz
dc.relation.ispartofMemorias Do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectdengueen
dc.subjectrisken
dc.subjectforeign travellersen
dc.subjectprobabilisticen
dc.subjectmodellingen
dc.subjectWorld Cupen
dc.titleRisk of symptomatic dengue for foreign visitors to the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazilen
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
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